
Ted Selker,
MIT director, Caltech/MIT Voting Project
20 Ames St., Cambridge MA, USA 02139
selker@media.mit.edu
617-253-6968
1/11/2008
Regarding the January 6, 2008 New York times Magazine article
on voting technology commentary.
Voting machines preside over the most powerful of
decisions, the direction of our government. No wonder we care about making sure
they operate perfectly. Vendors of election equipment have to make dependable
devices that serve a steady stream of hundreds of concerned voters a day so
that back-end counting computers can add these votes to a river of hundreds of
thousands of in a district. As Clive Thompson points out in his New York Times
Magazine piece, "Can You Count on Voting Machines?" (January 6,
2008), the devices have to conduct this process with the dependability of a
banking system while maintaining the privacy of each individual voter.
Clive Thompson works hard to point
out some of the problems inherent in voting systems, and he brings together
many valuable perspectives about the state of voting technology right now.
However, in many cases, his story draws unfounded conclusions based on
information that's one-sided or sometimes flat wrong.
For instance, Thompson disparages
voting systems that display votes on a screen (known more technically as Direct
Record Electronic voting machines) in favor of optical scan voting systems.
Both types of systems have more than a third of the market share each in the US
so voters might be familiar with them. In the first system, you make choices by
selecting regions of a large computer screen. In the second, you mark a piece
of paper that is scanned by computer to capture each vote. Thompson's main
point has to do with the handy paper copy accompanying the optical scan process.
Optical scan systems produce a fat stack of paper ballots, the actual pages
marked by voters, to audit, recount, or verify.
But there is a problem with
verifying votes with paper if you dare to look deeper. In the US we use
so-called "mark-sense" scanners, which donŐt check the candidates'
names printed on the ballots. The ballot mark positions are matched with a
separate ballot module. When the computer compares the paper ballot with the
electronic ballot module, things can sometimes go awry. A ballot with minor
folds can throw the system off, adding phantom marks or changing the position
so that the selection becomes invalid or goes to the wrong candidate.
Additionally the ballot may be scanned by a machine using the wrong ballot
module, or a ballot module may itself have an error in how it interprets
ballots. Yes, a stack of pages at the end of an election does serve as a good
record of voter intention. But essentially, we're left with the same dilemma as
with the touch screen systems -- Regardless of what the page says, did the
voting system ultimately mark the correct vote on the memory card? The stacks
of paper get processed by human hands, often without enough supervision. In
many recounts, such as the famous governor's race in King County, Washington in
2006, new ballots were miraculously ŇfoundÓ at each recount.
There is a solution. An optical
scan system used in several countries takes optical scan one step further,
capturing the actual ballot itself with the names of all candidates and races
using Optical Character Recognition (OCR). Such systems often save an image of
the ballot, so that when the ballot is viewed again, any possible changes to it
can themselves be found. Until we use such equipment in the US, the scans will
not be able to be audited and will continue to be prone to many types of
problems (counting folds, misalignments of timing marks, and allowing malicious
or accidental ballot module mistakes to throw the count).
Although Thompson's reporting has
lead him to believe that optical scan systems are superior, he also writes that
all voting systems -- including optical scan -- are problematic because of
their underlying reliance on computer tabulation. He summons quotes from
technologists saying that computer tabulation can cause unpredictable errors,
and ones on an entirely different scale than human hands. It's not clear how to
argue this point. For anyone aware of common practices in the industries of
banking, supply chain, ticket sales, inventory, and government in the last 60 years,
computers are the most dependable means of tabulating a large set of items. And
on a scale that voting systems regularly deal with -- oftentimes millions of
votes in one day -- errors in hand counts are indeed predictable -- predictably
large.
So computers will probably continue
to be a part of all massive tabulation efforts. With procedures such as
parallel testing, election officials can routinely check equipment before
during and after elections to prove that it is not loosing or adding votes. The
real question is which front-end interface is best for collecting votes from
voters. Optical scan systems have complications of having to scan each ballot
correctly, in the right orientation, and against the correct ballot module.
These systems also cause difficulty among voters in making their marks count;
stray marks, incomplete marks, and ovals filled in too hastily can nullify a
vote.
DRE voting administration must be
carefully set up to test for mistakes and fraud. But as Thompson's article
points out, printer reliability has not been up to the task of creating
reliable paper trails. And even if the paper trail systems were better
designed, would more busy voters take the time to double check over dozens of
selections on paper? ThompsonŐs article agrees: voters are not able to
appreciably assist in this audit because few voters look at and fewer can
interpret the paper trail to verify their vote.
With or without paper trails, DRE
systems have come to provide the clearest ballot presentation and best feedback
for voting systems. The devices alert voters when they attempt to vote for two
candidates in the same race or when they leave a race blank. (With apologies to
Thompson, the biggest problem in Palm Beach County in 2000 was not the
sensationalized 609 hanging chads, but some 19,000 ballots containing marks for
two presidential candidates and some 10,000 containing no marks for the
office.) DRE systems have the advantage of a large, clear surface on which to
design ballots. Well designed electronic ballots break down large elections
into smaller sections; they orient voters as to what actions to take; they
differentiate races clearly as voters move through the ballot; they give the
best second-chance feedback of any voting equipment when voters deposit their
ballots. Because races can be better laid out, and candidates and their
respective selection buttons moved closer together, we have found that voters
make fewer errors in which a candidate is picked adjacent to the actual choice.
Well designed DRE experiences give the voter a chance to review choices at the
end using carefully laid out review screens. In our experiments, more than .5
percent of voters flip their votes on all voting systems we have studied. Yet
they tend to notice and fix them with the active feedback of a touchscreen
display. In an analysis of missing election results by political scientist
Charles Stewart in 2004, Stewart shows that with optical scan machines as much
as .9 percent of voters did not a make selection for president. In the four
states using computer feedback interfaces, less than .4 percent of voters left
the same selection blank. This .5 percent difference across the country
represents more than 500,000 votes that could have been added with the help of
the structured touchscreen interface and feedback that electronic voting
systems provide.
Thompson underestimates the
potential of DRE interfaces, but he makes a few glaring factual errors in the
article that make it all the more dubious. For example, the article states that
electronic voting started in 2000 after the problems in Florida and other
states. DREs were first introduced starting with the Video Voter in Illinois in
1975, and DRE use expanded to almost 27 percent by 2000.
Instead of chicken-little arguments
calculated at fueling an exciting article, it is better to take the time to
think through the tough and technically challenging issues around voting.
Vulnerabilities exist in all voting systems whether they be hand-counted
ballots, optical scan ballots, or touch screens. And all voting technologies
need the proper administration to succeed -- thorough software testing,
thorough training, two-person oversight, auditing, and planning. DRE system
concerns have been glamorous to report on in the last few years, while greater
problems of more mundane approaches -- like mail-in voting, optical scan,
Inkavote, punch card, and hand count -- have flown under the radar. In
Thompson's article, it's not clear why OhioŐs inability to train pollworkers or
test their incoming machines becomes a statement about Diebold's poorly written
manuals. Maryland achieved a .3 percent residual with the same machines years
earlier.
There are many improvements that
can be made to all these technologies: optical character recognition can
improve security, accuracy, and auditabilty of optically scanned ballots;
better practices around not folding ballots in the postal mail would ensure
that more optically scanned ballots are recorded correctly; simply offering
voters a wooden ruler to place under each line as voters mark optical scan
ballots would save significant votes. And, yes, better DRE architectures,
interfaces, and verification methods would ensure seamless DRE voting. Many
voting places have changed technology twice since 2000. This isn't a time to
swap out voting machines again; it's a time to improve the way we check our
registration systems, design our ballots, and run our polling places --
currently, the top three ways that votes are lost in United States elections.
Oh, by the way, one primary cause of low voter turnout every year is strong
skepticism from voters that their votes will matter. With steady improvements
in voting systems, voter turnout will improve too. I believe that in 2008 we
are all much more vigilant than ever and will have the most accurate election
ever held.
Sincerely
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Ted Selker